<% Const AUTHDB_DSN = "stockwarrants" Const SITE_NAME = "stockwarrants" Const ASPLoginUserTbl = "user" %> Undervalued Warrants

Undervalued Warrants 9/1/2008

The following is a table of the stock warrants that our analysis shows to be most undervalued at current levels. This list of warrants is intended only as a screening tool for informed investors...we don't claim to have any special technical or fundamental knowledge of the warrants or their underlying stocks. Currently, we analyze the fair value of about 300 stock warrants.

Warrant terms can often be changed by the issuing company, and the sources of warrant information are occasionally faulty or incomplete in their descriptions of redemption prices, conversion ratios, etc., so it behooves the potential warrant investor to double-check the terms of the warrants. We also strongly advise that the potential investor have some knowledge of the underlying stock.

Warrants are often quite illiquid, and many are priced at penny-stock levels, and so the bid/ask spreads can be quite intimidating. With in-the-money warrants you should not be willing to pay much more than our quoted ask price, whereas with deeply out-of-the-money warrants you shouldn't automatically balk at paying a considerable ask premium. Depending on the liquidity of the warrant, your own purchase may cause the warrant to close at the high end of the bid/ask, whereas when you wake up the next morning you may find the current quote has dropped back down to the bid price, saddling you with a very quick loss on the order of 20% or more. While a disciplined approach to warrant investing can produce returns that considerably exceed those of stocks, it's not for day-traders.

A warrant that we find to be a bargain today will very likely be a bargain a week from now, so this page may be updated infrequently. If the most current prices on the warrant and underlying stock have not changed considerably since our last update, it is very unlikely that our opinion on the warrant has changed.

CompanyStock SymbolWarrant Symbol Stock PriceWarrant Price ExpirationStrike PriceConversion Ratio
Boise Incbzbz-wt2.96.196/18/20117.51
Trico Marine Atrmatrmaw23.757.43/15/201018.751
Converted Organics Bcoincoinz5.162.452/13/2012111
Ascent Solar Bastiastiz9.163.677/18/2011111
Raytheonrtnrtn-wt59.9923.626/16/201137.51
Caliper Life Sciencescalpcalpw2.99.428/9/20116.791
Mirant Bmirmir-wtb29.5812.331/3/201120.541
Foster Wheeler Afwltfwltw151.5649.699/24/20094.6893.368


Model Portfolio

The following table shows the performance of our model portfolio. The model portfolio was conceived in April of 1996 with a $30,000 cash position. For the sake of simplicity, every time we purchase a particular position, we invest about $1000. With the exception of those stocks for which we've issued a company profile, all the following positions have been selected solely on the basis of the calculated fair values.

CompanyStock SymbolWarrant SymbolStock Price Warrant PricePurchase PricePurchase DateExpirationStrike PriceConversion Ratio Positions
Pathmark Stores ptmk ptmkw12.850.048.817/2/2001 9/19/2010 22.13 1114
Interactive Corp B iaci iaciz17.604.09474/30/02 2/4/2009 13.41 1.93943
Chiquita Brands cqb cqb_w14.681.055.508/30/2002 3/19/2009 19.23 1364
Interactive Corp A iaci iaciw17.600.049.202/28/2003 2/4/2009 35.1 1435
Imperial Sugar ipsu ipsuw14.030.001.059/2/2003 8/29/2008 31.89 11905
Conseco cno cno-w8.970.005.3010/1/2003 10/10/2008 27.6 1377
XO Communications xocm xocml0.000.00.9711/3/2003 1/16/2010 10 12062
Spectrasite ssi spcsw15.92263.0046.754/30/2004 2/10/2010 16.00 286
Exide xide xidew12.342.215.306/30/2004 5/6/2011 32.11 1755
DOV Pharmaceuticals dovp dovpw0.040.008.508/30/2004 6/2/2009 10.00 1471
Magellan Healthcare mgln mglnw43.5615.0014.0010/1/2004 1/5/2011 30.46 1286
SmartPros spro sprow3.950.06.4012/1/2004 10/19/2009 7.125 110000
I-Sector inxi inxiw9.051.451.13/1/2005 5/7/2009 12.45 13636
Washington Mutual wm dimez15.630.22.103/30/2005 10/10/10 10 140000
Foster Wheeler A fwlt fwltw49.69150.6818.107/1/2005 9/24/2009 9.378 1.68230
A4S Security swat swatw0.600.09.8210/3/2005 7/18/2010 9.00 14878
Trico Marine A trna trmaw0.007.969.6511/1/2005 3/15/2010 18.75 1415
Flighty Safety flt flt_w0.520.04.812/2/2005 1/30/2009 3.30 15000
Mirant mir mir_wa29.5811.2513.21/31/2006 1/3/2011 21.87 1303
Vitacube prh prh_wb1.550.13.23/6/2006 4/5/2010 6.00 120000
Milestone Scientific mss mss_w7.560.00.223/31/2006 2/20/2009 4.89 118182
ICOP Digital icop icopw0.610.081.955/1/2006 7/8/2010 6.19 12051
Raytheon rtn rtn_w59.9923.6212.868/1/2006 6/15/2011 37.50 1311
Caliper Tech calp calpw2.990.421.3410/3/2006 8/9/2011 6.79 12985
American Telecom Services tes tes-wt0.020.00.92/1/2007 2/1/2011 5.05 14444
Smart Move mve mve-wt0.320.02.703/1/2007 12/7/2011 7.50 15714
Owens Corning B oc ocwaz24.192.204.954/30/2007 10/31/2013 45.25 1808
Ascent Solar asti astiz9.163.992.327/2/2007 7/18/2011 11.00 11724
Gigabeam Z ggbm ggbmz0.150.011.048/1/2007 1/28/2011 7.00 13846
Jamba Inc jmba jmbaw1.340.051.969/4/2007 6/28/2009 6.00 12041
Pharmathene pip pip-wt2.150.13.910/1/2007 7/27/2009 6.00 14444
GeoEye geoy geoyw24.7514.9020.4911/1/2007 3/31/2010 10.00 1195
Converted Organics coin coinz5.162.65.812/1/2007 2/13/2012 11.00 15000
US Dry Cleaning udry udryw0.530.12.22/1/2008 5/14/2012 3.5 120000
Boise bz bz_w2.960.191.992/29/2008 6/18/2011 7.50 12010
Summer Infant sumr sumrw4.300.30.343/31/2008 4/20/2009 5.00 111765
Fortress International figi figiw1.790.10.195/31/2008 7/12/2009 5.00 121053
Southpeak Interactive sopk sopkw2.600.25.336/30/2008 4/17/2011 5.00 112121
Novamerican Steel tons 2.950.80.557/31 5.50 2008 3/5/20111
Portfolio Value at Inception (4/29/96): $30,000.00
Current Securities: $134,292.07
Current Cash: $37,074.84
Current Portfolio Value: $171,366.92

Closed Positions

WarrantPurchase DateClose-Out Date Purchase PriceClose-Out Price
Co-Counsel4/29/967/96.43.18
Great Train Store4/29/968/96.625.43
Acres Gaming4/29/9610/20/96.4378.75
Victormax4/29/9612/30/96.3750.0
Data Systems Networks4/29/963/10/1997.252.43
Cypros Pharmaceuticals8/9611/3/19971.250.00
Cypros Pharmaceuticals7/9711/3/1997.250.00
SunPharm8/2/964/13/98.250.00
Univec5/11/987/13/98.530.84
Infinite Machines5/17/969/98.3750.00
Innovir8/30/199610/98.250.00
Bio Reference Labs7/15/199611/98.6880.00
Community Financial4/29/199612/98.5630.00
Sound Source Interactive10/13/19982/8/1999.090.156
Herley Industries "A"7/13/19982/16/19991.341.5
Disc Graphics2/26/19982/16/1999.750.625
LJ International2/22/19993/4/19992.002.50
LJ International3/8/19994/23/19992.152.50
Dualstar6/15/19985/3/1999.251.125
Chicago Pizza and Brewery12/15/19985/23/1999.06.09
Titan Pharmaceuticals4/14/199811/12/1999.8753.375
Titan Pharmaceuticals4/14/199811/19/1999.8755.375
Dualstar6/15/19981/7/2000.252.53
Questron9/13/19991/7/2000.724.25
Aid Auto4/29/19961/21/2000.4380.00
Dualstar6/15/19982/11/2000.257.00
Barringer Tech6/2/19972/11/20001.50.00
Solomon Page6/16/972/11/2000.3440.00
Texas Biotechnology10/11/992/17/2000.8756.75
Uniroyal Tech1/12/982/17/20003.5041.375
Vion Pharmaceuticals4/29/962/17/2000.759.125
La Jolla Pharmaceuticals B5/1/972/17/2000.591.15
International Nursing7/19/963/13/2000.3440.00
Aris International10/1/974/20005.110.00
Bogen Communications11/28/973/30/20001.1254.75
Vion Pharmceuticals B4/29/963/27/2000.7516.56
Cohesant Technologies4/29/962/2000.1880
Aasche Transportation4/29/962/2000.3750
Ligand4/29/966/12//2000.6503.50
Herley "B"2/16/9911/13/20003.946.18
IMC Global9/14/9812/23/2000.750
Paracelsian4/29/969/20001.5630
Texas Biotechnology10/11/9912/31/2000.8750
Greenman Technology5/31/969/28/20001.030
New Paradigm Software7/19/968/11/2000.250
TJT Inc3/30/9712/22/2000.250
La Jolla Pharmaceuticals5/1/976/2/2000.59370
TMCI Electronics1/20/983/5/20011.310
Meadow Valley Corp12/22/9710/16/20001.1250.0
US Laboratories6/28/20006/18/2001.943.25
Energy Search11/10/19976/20/20013.50.80
SFBC International11/27/20007/3/20011.2520.7
Digital Recorders5/17/966/22/2001.6880.0
Help at Home9/1/9712/5/2000.6250.0
TJT3/30/9712/22/2000.250.0
New Paradigm Software8/11/20006/22/2001.250.0
Neotherapeutics5/17/969/26/20014.000.0
SFBC International11/27/20008/21/20011.258.05
Elan Class A warrants2/14/200012/31/200140.7551.5
Elan Class A warrants3/13/200012/31/20014651.5
Return Assured5/15/974/10/20021.6250
Integrated Surgical5/15/974/10/2002.750
Andean Development5/15/974/10/2002.750
Digital Video Systems B7/15/974/10/2002.620
Digital Video Systems A2/2/984/10/2002.430
Productivity Technologies9/15/974/10/2002.8750
Factual Data8/14/984/10/20022.6250
Phar-Mor3/15/994/10/20021.000
Washington Group6/11/994/10/20023.50
Supergen B11/25/978/12/2001.90
Tech Electro5/11/199811/30/01.910
Chicago Pizza10/15/973/8/2002.251.1
Hemagen3/17/974/30/20021.1250
Farmstead Telephone9/15/978/12/20010.250
Advanced Elec Support2/2/982/13/20020.50
Mooney Aerospace3/9/988/31/021.090
Questron9/13/993/5/2002.720
Nam Tai4/28/200011/24/20022.820
Video Network Comm4/30/20016/15/2002.800
Taser Industries10/31/20012/3/20043.35118
Nuwave7/31/20017/30/2002.230
Digital Descriptor B5/17/961/2/2004.560
Interactive Systems9/15/971/2/20041.750
Encore Medical11/10/971/2/20041.180
Uniroyal Technologies1/2/981/2/20043.50
Harvey Electronics7/13/991/2/2004.380
Collegiate Pacific1/31/015/20/2004.874.45
LJ International8/11/19994/15/20051.810
Eagle Supply12/13/19993/12/2004.910
Eagle Supply3/13/20003/12/20041.250
Entropin8/28/20003/14/20052.750
Radyne Comstream10/30/20002/7/20054.20
Forest Oil9/4/20012/15/20047.754.90
Orbital Sciences1/31/20028/31/20042.905.85
Komag7/31/20035/7/20055.8515.34
Nexell2/28/20012/28/2006.6250
Rockwell Medical5/11/19991/26/2006.430
Rockwell Medical3/13/20001/26/20061.180
GMX Resources11/29/20012/12/20061.3534.20
Stage Stores9/31/20028/23/200622.9016.91
Relm Wireless7/29/20022/12/2006.120
Alderwoods9/30/20021/2/2007.210
McLeodUSA10/31/20024/16/2007.350
Krispy Kreme3/31/20036/24/2007.790
Agnico Eagle1/31/200310/31/20075.5038
Metals USA12/1/200311/30/2005.753.49
Lucent2/1/200512/10/20071.190
Twenty First Century3/31/20047/31/20074.30
Syntroleum Z6/1/20045/21/20081.950
Sunterra4/30/20057/26/20071.250
Microvision7/3/20067/6/2007.591.99
RAM Energy Resources10/31/20065/11/2008.820

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