Market Trends: Spiel   Seasonality and Investing   About the Site    Data Presentation   Market Trends FAQ   Subscribe - Contact
- Seasonality and Market Trends  -
Investing Summaries and Data...
  Daily Stock Market Trends
What REALLY happened in yesterday's market?  It's all generated via computer, not imagination.  Unique, detailed, and truly revealing. Non-subscribers can click here for a sample.
  Seasonal Charts
How cyclical are cyclicals?  How does Intel fare in July?  When is the best time of the month to buy biotechs?  How does Coca-Cola perform before and after dividends?  Before and after earnings?
  Market Trends Diary
Commentary on recent market trends, momentum investing, contrarian investing, stock splits...you name it...with an emphasis on evidence, not anecdote (non-subscribers click here for a sample)
  Seasonality:  Short to Mid-term Patterns
A data-driven breakdown of quarterly, monthly, bi-monthly, and daily trends.  Includes listings of stocks with strong historical performances over various time periods.
  Daily, Monthly, and Quarterly Data
Download the data into your favorite spreadsheet program and screen to your heart's content.
  Yearly and Half-Yearly Patterns
A breakdown of market behavior over the last decade and more.  Includes an informative and skeptical look at the popular "sell in May" strategy.
Stock Summaries
Our newest feature.  Does IBM stock tend to bounce back after big month-long losses?  How has Microsoft stock responded to various momentum strategies?  Is Friday a good day to sell Intel?  Does Amgen tend to rise during options expiration week?  Find out!
Subscribe!

 

General, Non-Seasonal Strategies..
  Disregarding strategies that invoke seasonality  in the stock market, what are the best general strategies we've dug up?  Take a look below...
Note to Viewers:  We've migrated this site to a new domain:  MarketSynopsis.com .  You can now view the content of this site with no subscription fee. 

***********************

The ripples generated by politics and macroeconomic announcements may sometimes obscure broader patterns in the stock market.  These patterns may repeat on a seasonal basis, or occur more sporadically.

Seasonal patterns are anchored in yearly taxation milestones, pension and bonus payments, the quarterly "earnings season", "window-dressing" on the part of fund managers, index-rebalancing periods, possible seasonal psychological effects, production, advertising, and release cycles in industry, and a likely myriad of other factors that are more difficult to pinpoint.

Obviously, one shouldn't expect seasonal patterns to be set in stone...as tax rates and schedules change, so should the associated seasonal effects.  Despite something of a contradiction of the "efficient market hypothesis", though, these patterns do tend to persist and can be taken advantage of...most of the seasonal investment tests you see to the right of the screen have outperformed the general market very significantly on scales as small as a day to as long as 3 months.

Other stock market trends take place on a one-time or infrequent basis.  In such cases, it's important to identify these trends quickly.  Here,  our "daily market summary" alone is worth the price of admission.  You get a view of yesterday's market that simply isn't available elsewhere.  If a new market trend is fomenting, we're often the first to comment.

There are plenty more "value-added" features.  We suggest you begin with our "spiel" for an overview of the site.

But Does It Work?
Our Portfolios...
  Can you actually profit via all this historical gobbledygook? That is, will looking at historical April data help you make money in the upcoming April? Below are a number of portfolios that test various investment approaches that incorporate seasonality and market trends...some with very impressive results.  The first row below is available for non-members.

 

Home Page:  Seasonality.

 

    Copyright © 2007 Stockwarrants.com. All rights reserved.